Zeitgeist Magazine, for the story behind the news
Issue 14,
Volume 7,
28 August 300 AP

The Story behind the news.
Edition
Economics
The unknown economy
Unionism's rising tide


Election 300
Poll: Alternative conservatives surge
Interview: The complete Burovian philosophy
Boornal blasts Pres. Hope


Politics
Corruption in Kanhara?


International Christiana's John Joseph sacked!
Thistland's "scorched vexillium" policy


Sport
Utanian Golf's grand prize
Football: Round six


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What IS a Zeitgeist?

Jerman for "Spirit of the Age". In this case it is to mean the "spirit" of the Utanian people, the magazine reporting the people's thoughts behind the press-releases and reported news.
Alternative conservatives surge

The latest Kapur-Zeitgeist poll shows a surge to the alternative conservative parties, the Burovians and the Progressives from former Conservative voters displeased by their party's swing toward popularism. This swing may ultimately change the form of coalition that governs the country after September 30.

The Kapur-Zeitgeist poll is the work of Zeitgeist magazine and eminent political analyst, Professor David Kapur of Luka University. It shows significant growth (3%) in one party: the Burovians, and minor growth (+1%) in James Angorit's Progressive party. This was at the expense of the Conservative, Liberal Nationalist, Peoples and Republican parties, each losing one percent of the total vote. And while all of these figures are within the poll's margin of error, Professor Kapur is convinced that this is highlighting three significant shifts in voter preferences. The Kapur-Zeitgeist poll, based on over 2500 voters

President Hope has clearly won over disaffected former-Conservative now-LNP voters who are impressed with his firm action over the I'ana archipelago. LNP -1%, Con +1%.

However, at the cost of several "conservative values" voters who are swapping to the Burovians and Angorit's Progressives. Con -2%, UBM +3%, UPP +1%.

Finally, there appears to be a shift from the Peoples and Republican parties that may be little within the poll's margin of error, but might also be the sign of a trend away from the PPP-USP coalition that is silent on economic policy issues. PPP -1%, Rep -1%.

FGC Yan DSP Rep USP PPP Lib UBM UPP Dem LNP CDP Con UNP
-
2
1
2
30
40
1
-
6
17
5
6
30
-
-
-
+1
+1
+1
-4
-
-
+4
-1
-4
-1
+3
-
Total: 140

Above is the proposed parliament that would have resulted if the election followed the poll. The poll was conducted in each electorate, and results taken from each electorate, allowing us to project which parties would win each electorate. This shows that the PPP-USP coalition would hold only half the parliament, dependent upon an array of allies in the Liberals, Republicans, Socialists and perhaps even the Yannists to make up another six votes in an evenly divided parliament.

This bodes poorly for the country. There must be a clear winner, according to Professor Kapur, for without it, the economic direction of the country may be muted and confused. "We are in a state of considerable poverty, and we need development of our resources quickly in order to provide for the poor. Foreign nationals will be loathe to loan Utania a single crown if our parliament cannot even agree on future direction."

Asked for a positive step that could be taken, Professor Kapur said that the future really rested with the Democrats if the polls didn't change. "The seventeen seats they hold would effectively provide a balance to the PPP-USP coalition that the other four parties could not provide, and while there would be compromises required by both sides, I think this would be the best solution."

"I think the Democrats should not rule out such a coalition."

Professor Kapur also noted the rise of the Burovian party. "There is no doubt in my mind that the Burovians will be in the next parliament with some five or six seats. They are more concentrated in their vote, and appear to be strategically placing their campaign in seats they can win more effectively, like Gyum'th and Waitaki. And the revealing of their position on many issues in this week's interview will further interest voters."
Overall the Burovians now hold 6% of the vote in Lasanne and 5% in Utani B'yan, while the Progressives hold 8% in Utani B'yan and 16% in Savana.

"There is also a clear movement away from the Peoples party. This may lie within the margin of error, but I think that the Peoples party may seriously be in trouble, having little by way of clear direction for the post-election Utania. The Democratic Socialists (DSP) are consequently represented for the first time in the virtual parliament that would have resulted from our poll."

Professor Kapur said that he believed "with these votes" the best hope for stable government lay with a Peoples-Utan Sædaj-Democrat (PPP-USP-Dem) coalition, holding 87 of the 140 seats. "The Peoples party and Democrats are not so far apart from eachother policy wise that compromise could not be reached."

The Democrat leadership was not available for comment, but some MP's commented that there "remained several obstacles to such a union".
Related Articles:

Alternative conservatives surge

Interview: The complete Burovian philosophy

Boornal blasts Pres. Hope

The unknown economy

Previous Editions:

The Military: Utania's latest political tool

Hope faces the skeptical

Angorit meets with Areopatré

Electorate Profile: Navoomi

Election 300 Special

Savaj give away their votes

Luka Herald's July poll

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Stocks continue to stagnate - when will the Govt. release cash controls?

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©Mike Ham, 2000. All rights reserved. No reproduction without, at least, tacit approval. ;-)