What IS a Zeitgeist?
Jerman for "Spirit of the Age". In this case it is to mean the "spirit" of the Utanian
people, the magazine reporting the people's thoughts behind the press-releases and reported
Alternative conservatives surge
The latest Kapur-Zeitgeist poll shows a surge to the alternative conservative
parties, the Burovians and the Progressives from former Conservative voters displeased by
their party's swing toward popularism. This swing may ultimately change the form of coalition
that governs the country after September 30.
The Kapur-Zeitgeist poll is the work of Zeitgeist magazine and eminent political analyst,
Professor David Kapur of Luka University. It shows significant growth (3%) in one party: the
Burovians, and minor growth (+1%) in James Angorit's Progressive party. This was at the
expense of the Conservative, Liberal Nationalist, Peoples and Republican parties, each losing
one percent of the total vote. And while all of these figures are within the poll's margin
of error, Professor Kapur is convinced that this is highlighting three significant shifts in
President Hope has clearly won over disaffected former-Conservative now-LNP voters who are
impressed with his firm action over the I'ana archipelago. LNP -1%, Con +1%.
However, at the cost of several "conservative values" voters who are swapping to the
Burovians and Angorit's Progressives. Con -2%, UBM +3%, UPP +1%.
Finally, there appears to be a shift from the Peoples and Republican parties that may
be little within the poll's margin of error, but might also be the sign of a trend away from
the PPP-USP coalition that is silent on economic policy issues. PPP -1%, Rep -1%.
Above is the proposed parliament that would have resulted if the election followed the
poll. The poll was conducted in each electorate, and results taken from each electorate,
allowing us to project which parties would win each electorate. This shows that the PPP-USP
coalition would hold only half the parliament, dependent upon an array of allies in the
Liberals, Republicans, Socialists and perhaps even the Yannists to make up another six votes
in an evenly divided parliament.
This bodes poorly for the country. There must be a clear winner, according to Professor
Kapur, for without it, the economic direction of the country may be muted and confused. "We
are in a state of considerable poverty, and we need development of our resources quickly in
order to provide for the poor. Foreign nationals will be loathe to loan Utania a single crown
if our parliament cannot even agree on future direction."
Asked for a positive step that could be taken, Professor Kapur said that the future
really rested with the Democrats if the polls didn't change. "The seventeen seats they hold
would effectively provide a balance to the PPP-USP coalition that the other four parties
could not provide, and while there would be compromises required by both sides, I think this
would be the best solution."
"I think the Democrats should not rule out such a coalition."
Professor Kapur also noted the rise of the Burovian party. "There is no doubt in my
mind that the Burovians will be in the next parliament with some five or six seats. They are
more concentrated in their vote, and appear to be strategically placing their campaign in
seats they can win more effectively, like Gyum'th and Waitaki. And the revealing of their
position on many issues in this week's interview will further interest voters."
Overall the Burovians now hold 6% of the vote in Lasanne and 5% in Utani B'yan, while
the Progressives hold 8% in Utani B'yan and 16% in Savana.
"There is also a clear movement away from the Peoples party. This may lie within the
margin of error, but I think that the Peoples party may seriously be in trouble, having little
by way of clear direction for the post-election Utania. The Democratic Socialists (DSP) are
consequently represented for the first time in the virtual parliament that would have resulted
from our poll."
Professor Kapur said that he believed "with these votes" the best hope for stable
government lay with a Peoples-Utan Sædaj-Democrat (PPP-USP-Dem) coalition, holding 87
of the 140 seats. "The Peoples party and Democrats are not so far apart from eachother policy
wise that compromise could not be reached."
The Democrat leadership was not available for comment, but some MP's commented that
there "remained several obstacles to such a union".
Stocks continue to stagnate - when will the Govt. release cash controls?
©Zeitgeist Magazine, 300 AP.
©Mike Ham, 2000. All rights reserved. No reproduction without, at least, tacit approval. ;-)